Yesterday British MPs voted in the House of Commons in favour of air strikes on Syria in the war on ISIS/Daesh/ISIL/IS, whatever people are calling them these days, it would appear Prime Minister David Cameron certainly seems to be of the opinion that nomenclature is of significant importance seeing as it is this that he spent most of his speech, which was supposed to be persuading MPs to vote for further war, talking about. After watching the debate amongst politicians, reading articles and blogs from multiple sources and talking to friends and family members on the subject I am still yet to be convinced that air strikes in Syria are either necessary or wise. Nor will they, in my opinion and from the evidence I have seen, lead to the destruction of ISIS and stabilisation of the area. It is a fact repeated by numerous heads of defence and politicians on either side of the argument that air strikes alone cannot and will not lead to the destruction of ISIS. Now I don't profess to having all the answers to such a complicated and multi-faceted conflict but I am clear that I am not in support of Britain joining the bombing over Syria, not least because of the lack of the presence of an actual clear military plan.
No matter how precise weapons are these days, to my knowledge at least, there is no weapon capable of distinguishing the belief system of one target from another and killing accordingly, this poses a significant problem as ISIS members mingle in with regular people going about their business on the streets and in the buildings of Syria (and Iraq). Therefore in order to get rid of every member of ISIS, ground troops would be required, ground troops which the British government have said they will not commit. Instead those voting for air strikes consistently referred to the possibility of using ground forces already in Syria in the form of 'moderate rebels', some 70,000 of them, if you believe the spiel of Cameron. Even if you believe there are this many soldiers willing to fight alongside us against ISIS (a point which has been refuted numerous times, government leaders in the area in fact estimated the numbers at closer to 15,000), there are still major questions about the make-up of these fighters:
- these 'moderate' fighters are from multiple different rebel groups with completely different ideologies and all struggling for power, these groups will be unlikely to want to work together even if it is feasible. Our definition of moderate when defining rebel groups also appears to become less moderate with each utterance.
- it has been noted by multiple sources that many of the fighters willing and able to fight against ISIS are in fact a part of the Syrian al-Qaeda faction, al-Nusra, that's the same al-Qaeda we went to war in Iraq and Afghanistan against in 2003. There are reports that the US has been arming al-Qaeda in the region for some time.
- another issue is that the majority of rebel factions are currently preoccupied with fighting against their oppressive leader President Assad, and thus by joining 'our' fight they would be weakening their fight with him. And thus may provide a vacuum of power for him to fill (something which John Pilger covers extensively here).
- in order to accept this as a possibility it would require you to completely ignore the fact that it is recent history repeating itself almost identically, see Afghanistan and Iraq. This policy of using and arming 'moderates' is what has led us to the position we are currently in.
It would seem that it would be highly ineffective, and to me at least, highly irresponsible and inhumane to be bombing in areas where innocent Syrian citizens reside (that is not to say this hasn't been going on for years in Iraq and indeed in Syria, see Airwars for details). This therefore leads to the oft made point that in order to stop the organisation in its tracks air strikes could, should, can and will target ISIS oil fields, supply routes and depots in order to cut the available money they have to fund their terrorist acts and push for an Islamic State. And this is indeed what has apparently happened within hours of getting the go-ahead on the first day of Britain's campaign in Syria: RAF Tornados conducted 'strikes against six targets within the extensive oilfield at Omar'. Now it's all well and good targeting the source of revenue of this organisation in an effort to cut their funds, however would it not be much more effective long-term, far less damaging environmentally and also risk far fewer civilians lives to attack this source of income at the purchasing end. Fact is someone is buying the oil that is being pumped from the earth by ISIS and thus these people are directly funding the exploits of a terrorist organisation, multiple sources point to Turkey and Israel as ISIS's main customers. That's right Israel, a significant US and UK world ally, and Turkey a fellow NATO member are according to many directly funding ISIS. Now I am open to being corrected here but if ISIS have nobody to sell their oil to then by my reasoning that would leave them sitting on thousands of barrels of oil but no money to purchase weapons, vehicles, machinery, computers, etc, or to fund acts of terror or their propaganda machine. It is also worth noting how ISIS acquires much of it's weaponry and where from, sources point to Saudi Arabia and Turkey, again two allies of the West. Bombing is completely unnecessary if the quest is to get at the group's funding and munitions sources, instead we should hold these countries to account for their actions, you can bet we would be sure to do so if it was Russia buying the oil as opposed to our buddies. Instead we are completely in the pocket of these countries particularly Saudi Arabia, to whom last year alone we made £1.6bn worth of arms sales. Another issue with bombing in Syria is the heightened risk of retaliation terrorist attacks on British soil that it brings, ISIS released statements explicitly stating after the shooting in Paris and the downing of a Russian passenger plane that these were a direct response to their countries' bombing in Syria. Now this is not to say we should be cowed into not bombing there by threats from ISIS, but if the bombing is purely tokenism surely it begs the question, is it really worth risking the possibility of further significant terrorist attacks for?
What I feel is also important to note about the speeches in the House of Commons yesterday is that many were highly emotional and called upon our nation's 'spirit', 'ideals' or 'principles' in provoking people to join in the vote for a campaign of war within another country. These being reminiscent of President Hollande's impassioned, vitriolic speeches in the wake of the Paris attacks last month and Tony Blair's speech ahead of the war with Iraq in 2003. Now while these made for rousing speeches I feel it is irresponsible to use this tactic when such an important topic is being debated, to me such speeches are not befitting of a Head of State or Member of Parliament, these are people supposedly in charge, or are at least figureheads, of whole countries, they should not be lashing out with knee jerk responses, or playing on people's emotions to promote national pride at a time when the ability to reason and think rationally are the two most important strengths of the human mind. In such a critical debate and when making such important decisions on the behalf of such a large population of people, the people in charge should be expected to be calm, thoughtful and reasoned in their approach to formulating a response. The point of terrorism is to spread fear, many of the speeches, not only yesterday but also whenever ISIS or similar organisations are covered by politicians or the media achieve exactly the same outcome in terms of fear-mongering as the terrorists do when committing heinous acts. We should not respond to these acts in a state of fear, as it is in this state that we are likely to make mistakes. It is with fear/pride that Britain has acted in voting in favour of airstrikes over Syria. The decision seems to have been taken solely so that Britain can appear to be playing some role in the conflict, that's right a face-saving airstrike campaign.
From what I have seen and heard the airstrikes campaign is a purely a token gesture from Britain to it's allies France and the US, which will achieve little without the help of dangerous rebel groups on the ground in Syria, the perceived aim of which could be achieved more effectively and less dangerously by holding to account some other allies in Turkey, Israel and Saudi Arabia. So, bombing in cities nor oilfields in Syria are likely to be an effective/necessary strategy. A bigger point than all of this though is that you can't bomb, shoot or murder an idea, as much as you try. Sure you can take out leaders (see Bin Laden, Ghandi, MLK) but their ideas will prevail if societal conditions are conducive to them being followed by the people within them and they have been preached strongly enough. And it is for this reason that the cycle of fundamentalism alongside hatred of the West (particularly the US) prevails in the Middle East. This is why we should be doing all we can to halt ISIS propaganda on the internet, television, magazines throughout the world, we also shouldn't be feeding their propaganda against our own country by recklessly bombing in a region where civilian casualties are unavoidable and can be easily used by the organisation to recruit more members. It has been said by many (2) that us bombing in Syria is exactly what ISIS want, it uses images of destroyed houses and hospitals and the innocent lives lost in stylised propaganda videos and magazines to recruit members across the globe, and we are playing right into their hands.
I could write page after page about the pros and cons of joining the conflict but none of this would get me over my main gripe, a gripe which encompass the whole debate, and really renders anything anyone says on the subject fairly pointless. This being the unease with which I am able to believe any reason any politician of any government gives with regards joining any Middle Eastern conflict, or any world conflict for that matter. Are we there purely to fight an evil ideology? are we there to free the people and instil a democratically elected government? are we there as a power play against Russia to prevent them from gaining more control in the region? are we there for access to oil and gas pipelines (as discussed here)? are we there to demolish the region in order to get our private industries in for the clean up job and subsequent customer base? all the above? some other not mentioned reasons? The fact that you can feel seemingly well informed on the subject of a conflict, it's history, all the major players and their ideologies and multiple theories on why and how it is happening and yet still remain as confused about the whole thing as if you knew nothing at all is not only frustrating but also massively dangerous for a general population that is bombarded with propaganda every day from every angle, and this again plays right into the hands of ISIS.






